Non-stationary large-scale statistics of precipitation extremes in central Europe
CC-BY
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| Định dạng: | Sách |
| Ngôn ngữ: | English |
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Springer
2023
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| Truy cập trực tuyến: | https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00477-023-02515-z https://dlib.phenikaa-uni.edu.vn/handle/PNK/9454 |
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oai:localhost:PNK-94542023-10-04T08:11:43Z Non-stationary large-scale statistics of precipitation extremes in central Europe Fauer, Felix S. Rust, Henning W. precipitation extremes CC-BY Extreme precipitation shows non-stationarity, meaning that its distribution can change with time or other large-scale variables. For a classical frequency-intensity analysis this effect is often neglected. Here, we propose a model including the influence of North Atlantic Oscillation, time, surface temperature and a blocking index. The model features flexibility to use annual maxima as well as seasonal maxima to be fitted in a generalized extreme value setting. To further increase the efficiency of data usage, maxima from different accumulation durations are aggregated so that information for extremes on different time scales can be provided. Our model is trained to individual station data with temporal resolutions ranging from one minute to one day across Germany. Models are chosen with a stepwise BIC model selection and verified with a cross-validated quantile skill index. The verification shows that the new model performs better than a reference model without large-scale information. 2023-10-04T08:11:43Z 2023-10-04T08:11:43Z 2023 Book https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00477-023-02515-z https://dlib.phenikaa-uni.edu.vn/handle/PNK/9454 en application/pdf Springer |
| institution |
Digital Phenikaa |
| collection |
Digital Phenikaa |
| language |
English |
| topic |
precipitation extremes |
| spellingShingle |
precipitation extremes Fauer, Felix S. Rust, Henning W. Non-stationary large-scale statistics of precipitation extremes in central Europe |
| description |
CC-BY |
| format |
Book |
| author |
Fauer, Felix S. Rust, Henning W. |
| author_facet |
Fauer, Felix S. Rust, Henning W. |
| author_sort |
Fauer, Felix S. |
| title |
Non-stationary large-scale statistics of precipitation extremes in central Europe |
| title_short |
Non-stationary large-scale statistics of precipitation extremes in central Europe |
| title_full |
Non-stationary large-scale statistics of precipitation extremes in central Europe |
| title_fullStr |
Non-stationary large-scale statistics of precipitation extremes in central Europe |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Non-stationary large-scale statistics of precipitation extremes in central Europe |
| title_sort |
non-stationary large-scale statistics of precipitation extremes in central europe |
| publisher |
Springer |
| publishDate |
2023 |
| url |
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00477-023-02515-z https://dlib.phenikaa-uni.edu.vn/handle/PNK/9454 |
| _version_ |
1779307183323742208 |
| score |
8.891053 |