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Non-stationary large-scale statistics of precipitation extremes in central Europe

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Fauer, Felix S., Rust, Henning W.
Format: Book
Language:English
Published: Springer 2023
Subjects:
precipitation extremes
Online Access:https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00477-023-02515-z
https://dlib.phenikaa-uni.edu.vn/handle/PNK/9454
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spelling oai:localhost:PNK-94542023-10-04T08:11:43Z Non-stationary large-scale statistics of precipitation extremes in central Europe Fauer, Felix S. Rust, Henning W. precipitation extremes CC-BY Extreme precipitation shows non-stationarity, meaning that its distribution can change with time or other large-scale variables. For a classical frequency-intensity analysis this effect is often neglected. Here, we propose a model including the influence of North Atlantic Oscillation, time, surface temperature and a blocking index. The model features flexibility to use annual maxima as well as seasonal maxima to be fitted in a generalized extreme value setting. To further increase the efficiency of data usage, maxima from different accumulation durations are aggregated so that information for extremes on different time scales can be provided. Our model is trained to individual station data with temporal resolutions ranging from one minute to one day across Germany. Models are chosen with a stepwise BIC model selection and verified with a cross-validated quantile skill index. The verification shows that the new model performs better than a reference model without large-scale information. 2023-10-04T08:11:43Z 2023-10-04T08:11:43Z 2023 Book https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00477-023-02515-z https://dlib.phenikaa-uni.edu.vn/handle/PNK/9454 en application/pdf Springer
institution Digital Phenikaa
collection Digital Phenikaa
language English
topic precipitation extremes
spellingShingle precipitation extremes
Fauer, Felix S.
Rust, Henning W.
Non-stationary large-scale statistics of precipitation extremes in central Europe
description CC-BY
format Book
author Fauer, Felix S.
Rust, Henning W.
author_facet Fauer, Felix S.
Rust, Henning W.
author_sort Fauer, Felix S.
title Non-stationary large-scale statistics of precipitation extremes in central Europe
title_short Non-stationary large-scale statistics of precipitation extremes in central Europe
title_full Non-stationary large-scale statistics of precipitation extremes in central Europe
title_fullStr Non-stationary large-scale statistics of precipitation extremes in central Europe
title_full_unstemmed Non-stationary large-scale statistics of precipitation extremes in central Europe
title_sort non-stationary large-scale statistics of precipitation extremes in central europe
publisher Springer
publishDate 2023
url https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00477-023-02515-z
https://dlib.phenikaa-uni.edu.vn/handle/PNK/9454
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score 8.8894005

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