The emergence of a virus variant: dynamics of a competition model with cross-immunity time-delay validated by wastewater surveillance data for COVID-19
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2023
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Online Access: | https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00285-023-01900-0 https://dlib.phenikaa-uni.edu.vn/handle/PNK/7488 |
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oai:localhost:PNK-74882023-04-04T04:57:51Z The emergence of a virus variant: dynamics of a competition model with cross-immunity time-delay validated by wastewater surveillance data for COVID-19 Bruce, Pell Samantha, Brozak Tin, Phan established strain disease-free equilibrium CC BY We consider the dynamics of a virus spreading through a population that produces a mutant strain with the ability to infect individuals that were infected with the established strain. Temporary cross-immunity is included using a time delay, but is found to be a harmless delay. We provide some sufficient conditions that guarantee local and global asymptotic stability of the disease-free equilibrium and the two boundary equilibria when the two strains outcompete one another. It is shown that, due to the immune evasion of the emerging strain, the reproduction number of the emerging strain must be significantly lower than that of the established strain for the local stability of the established-strain-only boundary equilibrium. 2023-04-04T04:57:51Z 2023-04-04T04:57:51Z 2023 Book https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00285-023-01900-0 https://dlib.phenikaa-uni.edu.vn/handle/PNK/7488 en application/pdf Springer |
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established strain disease-free equilibrium |
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established strain disease-free equilibrium Bruce, Pell Samantha, Brozak Tin, Phan The emergence of a virus variant: dynamics of a competition model with cross-immunity time-delay validated by wastewater surveillance data for COVID-19 |
description |
CC BY |
format |
Book |
author |
Bruce, Pell Samantha, Brozak Tin, Phan |
author_facet |
Bruce, Pell Samantha, Brozak Tin, Phan |
author_sort |
Bruce, Pell |
title |
The emergence of a virus variant: dynamics of a competition model with cross-immunity time-delay validated by wastewater surveillance data for COVID-19 |
title_short |
The emergence of a virus variant: dynamics of a competition model with cross-immunity time-delay validated by wastewater surveillance data for COVID-19 |
title_full |
The emergence of a virus variant: dynamics of a competition model with cross-immunity time-delay validated by wastewater surveillance data for COVID-19 |
title_fullStr |
The emergence of a virus variant: dynamics of a competition model with cross-immunity time-delay validated by wastewater surveillance data for COVID-19 |
title_full_unstemmed |
The emergence of a virus variant: dynamics of a competition model with cross-immunity time-delay validated by wastewater surveillance data for COVID-19 |
title_sort |
emergence of a virus variant: dynamics of a competition model with cross-immunity time-delay validated by wastewater surveillance data for covid-19 |
publisher |
Springer |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00285-023-01900-0 https://dlib.phenikaa-uni.edu.vn/handle/PNK/7488 |
_version_ |
1762274899220496384 |
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8.891695 |